BOROCHAT

Re: Our Attacking Issues (using Statistics!)

By borostag (Todge)3/12 16:06Tue Dec 3 16:06:39 2024In response to Re: Our Attacking Issues (using Statistics!)

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Oh yes, I absolutely agree on the correlation/causation point. Of course you'll get better results if there is more data, but if we saw some very strong correlations even in this small sample then they would definitely still deserve to be studied, especially in low-scoring scenarios. If we had scored every time Young started it could absolutely be a complete coincidence, but on the balance of probabilities you can make some initial inferences which you can test more thoroughly later on.

The goal was to put player minutes & combinations to a rather basic test, and this can be really revelatory when you compare different players under the same (admittedly poor) assumptions. The fact that the data does point in the direction you'd think it does judging "by eye" gives me confidence it has at least some basis in reality.

The Harvey White stats really were the bit that shocked me, and it's pretty much exactly what you said. I think Forster-Caskey is a huge, huge miss, and his reduced minutes towards the latter end of last season could be quite meaningful form-wise, but then again, we were creating at the start of the season (even with White and without JFC), we were just missing absolute sitters, which is something that's only changed in the last month using the same players!